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A Serious Probability Error

Powell presents an image of being in control. He may even believe it himself! But the events of the past four years have made it clear that Powell is no shadowy puppet master bending the economy to his will. He’s a hapless schmuck reacting to every crisis while never managing to get ahead of it. So what now?

Make This Move Before Today’s 2 p.m. Market Shock

In a few hours we’ll hear from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the latest interest rate decision. It won’t be any surprise to investors, but it will send shockwaves through the markets. And this is just the beginning. Let’s talk about what to expect and how to prepare.

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Biden’s Edge: A Demographic “Ghost Ship”

Young people today no longer believe in capitalism. Sadly, it’s been a long time since we’ve seen real capitalism in the wild, but young voters aren’t big on nuance right now. They’re angry, and the solutions they’re going to demand at the ballot box are only going to make the problems worse…

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That Didn’t Quite Go as Planned

Inflation came in hotter than expected yesterday, effectively killing Wall Street’s expectations of a May 1 interest rate cut. The Fed funds futures market is now pricing in a 94% probability that rates remain unchanged at 5.25% to 5.5%. So now what?

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How to Protect Your Wealth From Election Year Chaos

When the world looks like it’s crashing down, investors take solace in knowing their wealth is protected by the most powerful military force in the history of mankind. But what happens when the safe haven itself appears to be at risk because those in charge of protecting it – namely the Federal Reserve – are the ones generating the chaos?