Volatility has been off the charts since “Liberation Day.” We’ve seen stocks gap down 5% in a single day… and surge 10% the next. We haven’t seen swings this dramatic since the COVID crash in 2020. While most investors were reaching for the Scotch, master trader Jonathan Rose was helping Freeport Alpha readers cash in a 140% gain in just 24 days. And he hasn’t stopped there. Today, he explains how he does it… and how you can too.
What if tariffs aren’t inflationary after all? What if they’re actually deflationary, where prices fall? Or disinflationary, where they rise at a much slower rate? If that’s the case, which John Pangere believes it is, then if you’re preparing for inflation and you get disinflation, it’s probably not going to help your portfolio.
Uncertainty is like acid to the markets. And as volatility increases, certain sectors become vulnerable to overbought conditions. They may be overextended and poised for a potential mean reversion, which basically means they snap back up or down to something closer to their long-term trend. This includes the tech sector… as was evident in April’s bout of earnings releases…
The S&P 500 just posted nine straight days of increases. That hasn’t happened in 21 years. But what investors are not seeing is that gold is up 11%. And over the past six months gold is up 28% versus a 5% loss for the S&P 500. Over the past 12 months, it’s up 46% versus an 8% gain for the S&P 500. But as we’ll look at today, despite that already stunning outperformance, we’re still in the early innings of the gold bull market.
While Buffett will no longer be the CEO of Berkshire, he’s staying on as Executive Chairman. I expect he’ll die at his desk, Cherry Coke next to him, an annual report of some company still clutched in his hand. Still, as he “slows down,” it’s as good a time as any to reflect on his achievements.
Nations can go on… and on. The Chinese are still Chinese. The Turks are still in Turkey. And the French will always be with us. But empires rise and fall, with a lifespan of only about 250 years, on average. Could it be that Mr. Trump has unwittingly become a tool of history too?
AI promises to be the most revolutionary technology in the history of mankind. As investors, this is the kind of moment we dream about. So how can you be in the right place to profit? Let’s find out.
Retail in general is decimated. There isn’t a line of clothes boutiques looking to transform pubs to retail space in small town Ireland. Essentially, these are now a category of real estate without a use. Today, Ronan shows how you can turn a struggling pub into a profitable boutique hotel or Airbnb.
President Trump’s “First Buddy”, Elon Musk, made a lot of noise, generated a ton of press, and shook things up with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). But he failed in his mission to make significant cuts to government spending. That means more rising debt and deficits… and a looming dollar crisis. There’s no escaping it at this point. But you can prepare for it. Here’s how.
Gold is a dollar hedge and crisis insurance, so its outperformance year to date makes perfect sense. But I also understand the dangers of letting ideology creep into my investment process. Good investing means good risk management. Good risk management means staying emotionally detached. So, what do the cold, hard numbers say about gold?
